Description

This analysis provides a forecast of OP prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-12-08 1.639074 1.910146 2.191870 2.504960 2.841686 3.191573 3.581260
2024-12-15 1.179917 1.549494 1.957326 2.434016 2.969707 3.547632 4.212996
2024-12-22 0.936115 1.348071 1.823252 2.398224 3.062931 3.796727 4.658124
2024-12-29 0.783793 1.230299 1.766296 2.434225 3.224387 4.112550 5.170694
2025-01-05 0.655196 1.120956 1.702007 2.445856 3.343859 4.368915 5.605326
2025-01-12 0.530050 0.998760 1.608309 2.410491 3.398511 4.543144 5.939920
2025-01-19 0.487071 0.981612 1.643019 2.529078 3.634156 4.926048 6.513574
2025-01-26 0.452590 0.971429 1.683297 2.652049 3.873386 5.312218 7.090717
2025-02-02 0.427613 0.971568 1.734908 2.787760 4.127225 5.715314 7.687782
2025-02-09 0.411897 0.983375 1.800881 2.941096 4.402501 6.144115 8.315638
2025-02-16 0.377782 0.961905 1.818135 3.028966 4.594954 6.472824 8.825073
2025-02-23 0.329148 0.910659 1.789510 3.053311 4.705441 6.701091 9.214331
2025-03-02 0.253723 0.806520 1.683816 2.978020 4.697091 6.795806 9.459389
2025-03-09 0.189577 0.709878 1.581668 2.902603 4.685756 6.885803 9.699228
2025-03-16 0.144312 0.638232 1.509683 2.862131 4.713622 7.018614 9.985087
2025-03-23 0.119928 0.605535 1.496159 2.902203 4.845953 7.280762 10.427884
2025-03-30 0.094913 0.564454 1.465346 2.914927 4.940282 7.494178 10.810473
2025-04-06 0.067398 0.506730 1.401495 2.875929 4.962909 7.615552 11.079028
2025-04-13 0.063625 0.515475 1.452325 3.006720 5.214953 8.027967 11.706433
2025-04-20 0.060642 0.525955 1.506114 3.142099 5.473610 8.449361 12.345721
2025-04-27 0.059297 0.541406 1.568852 3.291205 5.751418 8.895761 13.016735
2025-05-04 0.059952 0.563596 1.643947 3.459334 6.055706 9.376585 13.731172
2025-05-11 0.053515 0.559888 1.671613 3.555526 6.261779 9.732340 14.291352